Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.