Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.14%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.