Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.