The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Panama 1-0 Honduras
The Hondurans have nothing but pride to play for at this stage, so we expect to see more urgency from Panama, who know the importance of winning this match with the standings so close. La Marea Roja have more organisation and balance in their team than La H, and they have not lost a game on their home soil since a 3-0 defeat to Mexico in the 2019 CONCACAF Nations League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Honduras |
| 53.94% | 25.54% | 20.52% |
| Both teams to score 45.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
