Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.