Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Haiti win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
