The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Haiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Haiti win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Haiti |
| 59.5% | 22.39% | 18.11% |
| Both teams to score 50.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
