Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Canada had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.