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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Bala Town logo
Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Bala Town
Kenny (57')
Edwards (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abadaki (14')
Abadaki (31'), Arsan (59'), Malkin (73'), Malkin (73'), Smith (90+3')
Malkin (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
55.32% (-0.279 -0.28) 23.06% (0.177 0.18) 21.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.445 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)45.99% (0.654 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (-0.628 -0.63)68.29% (0.62400000000001 0.62)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)16.48% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (-0.601 -0.6)46.19% (0.598 0.6)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)35.44% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.285 -0.29)72.2% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.32%
    Bala Town 21.61%
    Draw 23.06%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.61%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
1-0
Connah's Quay
Rushton (48' og.)
White (77')

Nash (64'), Kenny (75'), Franklin (75')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bala Town
1-2
Connah's Quay
Newell (27')
Franklin (26'), Horan (42')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town
Kenny (14')
Roscrow (76')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
1-0
Bala Town
Stratulis (23')

Kay (61'), Southern (83')
Kay (70'), Southern (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints13112045103535
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay14102241162532
3Newtown AFCNewtown137242314923
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon147252826223
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU146441722-522
6Bala TownBala Town145541111020
7Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont135261720-317
8Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest143561526-1114
9Barry Town UnitedBarry143381526-1112
10Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd14338517-1212
11Colwyn Bay122281221-98
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth13229828-208

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