MX23RW : Sunday, May 14 09:38:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0 - 1
Heerenveen
FT(HT: 0-0)
van Ewijk (58')
Colassin (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Heerenveen

The teams have had little problem finding the back of the net this term, so we anticipate goals at both ends here. That said, we are tipping Heerenveen to get the better of their hosts and carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
28.13% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 23.72% (0.02 0.02) 48.15% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)42.81% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)65.21% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)28.35% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.044000000000004 0.04)64.09% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)17.94% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)48.77% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 28.13%
    Heerenveen 48.15%
    Draw 23.71%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 6.94% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.13%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 48.15%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

SBV Excelsior
10.3%
Draw
20.7%
Heerenveen
69.0%
29
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
Feb 24, 2018 6.45pm
Sep 16, 2017 5.30pm
Mar 11, 2017 7.45pm
Excelsior
4-1
Heerenveen
Elbers (15'), Mattheij (42'), Van Duinen (48'), Hasselbaink (92')
Bruins (3'), Massop (32'), van Duinen (37')
Slagveer (77')
Marzo (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord31237175284776
2PSV EindhovenPSV31215582354768
3Ajax31189479324763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31187659322761
5FC Twente321610658263258
6Sparta RotterdamSparta32158951361553
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3214995145651
8Heerenveen32119123947-842
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk32118135055-541
10NECNijmegen32814104141038
11Go Ahead Eagles31910124351-837
12Fortuna SittardSittard31105163756-1935
13FC VolendamVolendam3296173966-2733
14Vitesse31710143650-1431
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3285192768-4129
16EmmenEmmen31610152954-2528
RGroningen3146212961-3218
RCambuur3144232163-4216

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