Atletico Madrid 3-2 Cadiz - La Liga - October 1, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

3 - 2

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, September 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Cadiz

Cadiz have only conceded eight times in La Liga this season, and they have made an encouraging start. Atletico are missing a number of important players at the moment, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to secure all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
68.1% ( -0.94)	19.38% ( 0.48)	12.52% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.96)

45.77% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.92)

68.09% (

0.92)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

-0.54)

12.41% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

-1.14)

38.29% (

1.14)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

0.16)

46.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78% (

0.13)

82.22% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 68.09%

Cadiz 12.52%

Draw 19.38%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.09%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.38%	0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.52%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid

87.0%

Draw

11.7%

Cadiz

1.3%

Head to Head

May 3, 2023 9pm

Gameweek 33

5-1

Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')

Lozano (72')

Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm

Gameweek 12

3-2

Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')

Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')

Aug 4, 2022 8pm

Club Friendlies

1-4

Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')

Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')

Mar 11, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 28

2-1

Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')

Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')

Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm

Gameweek 15

1-4

Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')

Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')