Atletico Madrid 3-1 Granada - La Liga - August 14, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

3 - 1

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Morata (45+4'), Depay (67'), Llorente (90+8')
Hermoso (39'), Morata (42'), Azpilicueta (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Omorodion Aghehowa (62')
Gumbau (10'), Lopez (45+7')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Leganes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Granada

Granada are not a team to be underestimated, and it would not be a surprise to see them claim a positive result on Monday night. Atletico are difficult to back against on home soil, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Granada
52.45% ( -0)	25.58% ( 0.07)	21.97% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.39% (

-0.3)

55.61% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

-0.25)

76.77% (

0.24)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

-0.12)

21.24% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85% (

-0.19)

54.15% (

0.19)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47% (

-0.24)

40.53% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0.21)

77.13% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 52.44%

Granada 21.97%

Draw 25.58%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.97%

How you voted: Atletico vs Granada

Atletico Madrid

84.0%

Draw

12.0%

Granada

4.0%

Head to Head

Apr 20, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 33

0-0

Mandava (29'), Savic (45+4'), De Paul (78'), Vrsaljko (85')

Quini (3'), Escudero (58'), Diaz (74'), Puertas (83'), Duarte (90+2')

Dec 22, 2021 6pm

Gameweek 9

2-1

Machis (17'), Molina (61')
Maximiano (66'), Ruiz (69'), Monchu (86'), Torrente (90+5')

Felix (2')
De Paul (7')

Feb 13, 2021 1pm

Gameweek 23

1-2

Herrera (66')

Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')

Sep 27, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 3

6-1

Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')

Molina (87')
Duarte (15')

Feb 8, 2020 8pm

Gameweek 23

1-0