Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
63.11% ( 0.17) | 20.99% ( 0.05) | 15.9% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.37% ( -0.64) | 45.63% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% ( -0.61) | 67.96% ( 0.61) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.18% ( -0.15) | 13.82% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.83% ( -0.3) | 41.17% ( 0.3) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.38% ( -0.68) | 41.62% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.9% ( -0.6) | 78.1% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 63.11% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |