Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
50.71% ( 0.05) | 26.11% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( 0.1) | 56.43% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( 0.08) | 77.44% ( -0.08) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.06) | 22.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.09) | 55.8% ( -0.09) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% ( 0.04) | 39.8% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% ( 0.03) | 76.46% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 27 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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