Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
42.39% ( -0.81) | 28.56% ( 0.46) | 29.05% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 44.58% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.53% ( -1.39) | 61.47% ( 1.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.66% ( -1.04) | 81.34% ( 1.05) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -1.1) | 28.69% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -1.4) | 64.51% ( 1.4) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% ( -0.47) | 37.48% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% ( -0.47) | 74.26% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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