MX23RW : Monday, April 17 02:01:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Oct 30, 2022 at 6pm UK at Estádio Pina Manique
Casa Pia
1 - 0
Rio Ave
Godwin (66')
Taira (27'), Varela (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aderlan (41'), Boateng (58'), Graca (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Portimonense
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Rio Ave

Rio Ave completed the league double over Casa Pia when the sides met in the Segunda Liga last term and will be looking to pick up where they dropped off. However, the hosts have been decent on home turf this season and we are backing them to hold out for a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
35.63% (0.479 0.48) 28.77% (-0.119 -0.12) 35.6% (-0.36000000000001 -0.36)
Both teams to score 45.51% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.95% (0.411 0.41)61.05% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (0.306 0.31)81.03% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (0.527 0.53)32.52% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (0.588 0.59)69.05% (-0.586 -0.59)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 35.62%
    Rio Ave 35.59%
    Draw 28.76%
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.58% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.88% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Casa Pia
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Rio Ave
9.1%
11
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica28232368175171
2Porto28214360194167
3Braga28212561243765
4Sporting Lisbon28184657273058
5AroucaArouca2812973233-145
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes28125112733-641
7FamalicaoFamalicao28123133035-539
8Casa Pia28116112732-539
9Vizela27115113128338
10ChavesChaves2899102833-536
11Rio AveRio Ave2898112832-435
12BoavistaBoavista2796123245-1333
13Gil Vicente2887132633-731
14PortimonensePortimonense2893162135-1430
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2874172344-2125
16Maritimo2864182451-2722
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2845192149-2817
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2836191844-2615

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