Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.