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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
67.7% ( 0.14) | 17.46% ( -0.04) | 14.84% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.55% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.88% ( -0.04) | 31.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.47% ( -0.05) | 52.53% ( 0.04) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.53% ( 0.02) | 8.46% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.63% ( 0.05) | 29.36% ( -0.05) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( -0.16) | 33.84% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% ( -0.17) | 70.51% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.46% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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