Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 89.55%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 3.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.5%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
89.55% ( 0.91) | 7.43% ( -0.59) | 3.02% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 41.99% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.6% ( 1.37) | 23.4% ( -1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.2% ( 1.82) | 42.8% ( -1.82) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.85% ( 0.33) | 3.15% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.98% ( 1.14) | 14.02% ( -1.14) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.35% ( -0.49) | 56.64% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.16% ( -0.28) | 88.84% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
3-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.28) 5-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.17) 6-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.17) 7-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 8-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 89.54% | 1-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.43% Total : 7.43% | 0-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.01% Total : 3.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |