Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 5.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.74%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
82.83% ( -0.05) | 11.55% ( 0.02) | 5.62% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.76% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.29% ( 0.06) | 31.7% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.78% ( 0.07) | 53.21% ( -0.08) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.37% ( 0) | 5.63% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.18% ( 0.01) | 21.82% ( -0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.43% ( 0.15) | 52.57% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.62% ( 0.1) | 86.37% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 82.81% | 1-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 11.55% | 0-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 5.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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