Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.03%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 4.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 4-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
85.03% ( 0.48) | 10.08% ( -0.23) | 4.89% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.85% ( -0.09) | 27.15% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.32% ( -0.12) | 47.68% ( 0.11) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.58% ( 0.06) | 4.42% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.79% ( 0.19) | 18.21% ( -0.19) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.57% ( -0.99) | 51.42% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.37% ( -0.67) | 85.63% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
3-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 3.72% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.26% Total : 85.02% | 1-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.08% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |