Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.