Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
60.84% ( 0.05) | 21.81% ( 0.13) | 17.35% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.37% ( -0.85) | 46.64% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.1% ( -0.81) | 68.91% ( 0.81) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.15% ( -0.26) | 14.86% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.82% ( -0.51) | 43.18% ( 0.52) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.6% ( -0.72) | 40.41% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.98% ( -0.66) | 77.02% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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