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Aberdeen logo
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Dundee United
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Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee Utd
Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Middleton (45+1'), Sibbald (90+2'), Graham (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 3-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee United

Both teams will see Wednesday as a hugely important game in their respective bids to avoid the drop, and given the stakes we anticipate a cagey encounter and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a share of the spoils after a hard-fought encounter at Rugby Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
52.86% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 24.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.45% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.012 -0.01)73.53% (0.012 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.015999999999991 0.02)19.54% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.45% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.052 -0.05)37.88% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)74.65% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.86%
    Dundee United 22.45%
    Draw 24.69%
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.86%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock
54.2%
Draw
29.2%
Dundee United
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
Smith (7')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee Utd
McKenzie (20')
McKenzie (108')
McNulty (4'), Levitt (111')
Levitt (90+3'), Butcher (98'), Watt (104')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-0
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (32', 35', 43' pen.)
Lafferty (16')

Hoti (57'), Sporle (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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