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Aberdeen logo
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Ross County
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St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Aberdeen logo
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Aberdeen
Robinson (31'), Wright (42')
Mayo (90'), Walker (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kennedy (90+1')
MacKenzie (15'), Coulson (23')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Aberdeen

Kilmarnock have resumed their league campaign in respectable fashion but need to start recording wins to move away from the bottom of the league standings. Aberdeen are struggling for form but should be able to collect all three points at Rugby Park to ensure they finish 2022 in third position in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
42.15% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01) 25.54% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)48.88% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)70.97% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)23.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.88% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)28.58% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)64.37% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 42.15%
    Aberdeen 32.31%
    Draw 25.53%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

Kilmarnock
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Aberdeen
64.7%
34
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
4-1
Kilmarnock
Besuijen (22'), Miovski (24' pen., 45'), Stewart (63')
Taylor (27')
Jones (18')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
2-2
Aberdeen
Brophy (17' pen.), Kiltie (23')
(81')
McGinn (38'), McLennan (50')
Taylor (17'), Ferguson (64'), Logan (65'), McLennan (69'), Kennedy (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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