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Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hibernian
Armstrong (53' pen.)
Power (40'), McKenzie (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabraja (12'), Porteous (66'), Cadden (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Ross County
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian

In a match with significant permutations in the league standings, we expect both teams to give a good account of themselves as they search for some momentum. Despite this, there will be no separating the teams on the day and both Kilmarnock and Hibernian will have to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
41.72% (0.223 0.22) 25.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 32.65% (-0.254 -0.25)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (-0.194 -0.19)49.16% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.177 -0.18)71.23% (0.173 0.17)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.39% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.37% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.258 -0.26)28.5% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.323 -0.32)64.27% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 41.72%
    Hibernian 32.65%
    Draw 25.62%
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.65%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian

Kilmarnock
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Hibernian
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Newell (12')
Boyle (74'), Porteous (77')

Power (18'), Lafferty (77'), McKenzie (90+1')
Taylor (10')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hibernian

Dikamona (27'), Power (40'), (69')
Nisbet (27' pen.)
Mallan (76')
Aug 1, 2020 3pm
Hibernian
2-1
Kilmarnock
Boyle (5', 34')
McGinn (68')
Burke (44')
Power (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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