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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Exeter City |
67.52% ( -0.65) | 19.35% ( 0.34) | 13.13% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.81) | 44.22% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( -0.79) | 66.6% ( 0.79) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( -0.41) | 12.11% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.32% ( -0.88) | 37.68% ( 0.87) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.31% ( -0.03) | 44.69% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.31% ( -0.02) | 80.68% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Exeter City |
2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 67.51% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
P | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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