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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg
Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg
Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Balerdi (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aholou (88', 89')
Delaine (6'), Nyamsi (40'), Djiku (72'), Sobol (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-0 Strasbourg

 All the signs point towards a convincing win for title-chasing Marseille on Sunday, with the hosts likely to keep a clean sheet on their way to dispatching struggling Strasbourg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
62.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 21.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 16.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)46.3% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)68.59% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)14.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.22% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)41.21% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02)77.75% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 62.05%
    Strasbourg 16.53%
    Draw 21.41%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 62.05%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.53%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
93.8%
Draw
2.1%
Strasbourg
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
Dieng (52')
May 21, 2022 8pm
Marseille
4-0
Strasbourg
Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')

Sissoko (75')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Strasbourg
0-1
Marseille
Sanson (72')
Amavi (52'), Kamara (58'), Khaoui (87'), Mandanda (89')
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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