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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
44.3% ( -0.32) | 25.35% ( -0.02) | 30.35% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( 0.21) | 48.8% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( 0.19) | 70.9% ( -0.2) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( -0.06) | 22% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( -0.09) | 55.32% ( 0.08) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.34) | 29.85% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( 0.41) | 65.94% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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