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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
58.96% ( 0.03) | 22.58% ( -0.01) | 18.45% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.86% ( -0.01) | 48.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% ( -0.01) | 70.29% ( 0) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.02% ( 0.01) | 15.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.71% ( 0.02) | 45.29% ( -0.02) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.01% ( -0.03) | 39.98% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.36% ( -0.03) | 76.64% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 58.95% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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