Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
