Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Although the hosts may make a few more changes to their side than their opponents, Leipzig's defence of their DFB-Pokal title should continue beyond Wednesday evening. Hoffenheim arrive in Eastern Germany on a horrible run of form, which could see their manager lose his job sooner or later if it does not improve soon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.59% ( -0.36) | 22.92% ( 0.14) | 29.49% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
