Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.