Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bath Rugby had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Bath Rugby win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.