Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.