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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
40.07% ( -0.78) | 24.71% ( -0.11) | 35.22% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0.66) | 44.47% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0.63) | 66.84% ( -0.64) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( -0.09) | 22.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( -0.14) | 55.55% ( 0.13) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.81) | 24.7% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( 1.13) | 59.24% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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