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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
48.65% ( 2.61) | 23.44% ( -0.44) | 27.9% ( -2.17) |
Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( 0.7) | 41.71% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( 0.71) | 64.11% ( -0.7) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.67% ( 1.3) | 17.33% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.29% ( 2.23) | 47.71% ( -2.23) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -1.12) | 27.95% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( -1.45) | 63.58% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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