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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
44.94% ( -0.49) | 23.19% ( 0.09) | 31.86% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.75% ( -0.25) | 38.24% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.27) | 60.52% ( 0.26) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% ( -0.29) | 17.42% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.12% ( -0.51) | 47.87% ( 0.5) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( 0.11) | 23.68% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.16) | 57.79% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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