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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
36.78% | 26.72% | 36.5% |
Both teams to score 51.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% | 53.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% | 74.77% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% | 27.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.92% | 28.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% | 63.75% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.8% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
5 | Freiburg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 |
15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 |
18 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 19 |
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