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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
37.07% | 24.92% | 38.01% |
Both teams to score 58.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% | 45.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% | 24.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.67% | 58.33% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% | 23.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.39% | 57.61% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 36 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Freiburg | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 24 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 23 |
12 | FC Koln | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Augsburg | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 18 |
15 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 16 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 10 |
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