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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
55.05% | 23% | 21.95% |
Both teams to score 54.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% | 45.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% | 67.62% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% | 16.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.09% | 45.91% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% | 34.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% | 71.45% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.32% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
5 | Freiburg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 |
15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 |
18 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 19 |
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