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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo
B. Leverkusen
0 - 2
Dortmund

Tapsoba (28'), Wirtz (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
Adeyemi (34'), Ozcan (60'), Modeste (84'), Ryerson (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

This match is undoubtedly the headline fixture of the weekend as far as the Bundesliga is concerned, and it should be a highly entertaining encounter with both teams preferring to play on the front foot. Leverkusen will be determined to maintain their winning run as they look to close the gap on the Champions League qualification places, but we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
38.38% (1.227 1.23) 23.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 38.09% (-1.24 -1.24)
Both teams to score 63.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)38.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.77% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.574 0.57)20.36% (-0.571 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.903 0.9)52.76% (-0.901 -0.9)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.598 -0.6)20.5% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-0.95999999999999 -0.96)52.98% (0.963 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.38%
    Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
    Draw 23.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.155 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
31.6%
Draw
33.8%
Borussia Dortmund
34.6%
133
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-5
B. Leverkusen
Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729

Real Madrid Until The End
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