Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.