Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
42.84% ( -0.16) | 26.86% ( -0.13) | 30.3% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.06% ( 0.61) | 54.94% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.78% ( 0.5) | 76.22% ( -0.5) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( 0.19) | 25.39% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 0.26) | 60.2% ( -0.27) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( 0.53) | 33.03% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% ( 0.58) | 69.63% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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