Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
35.89% | 27.9% | 36.2% |
Both teams to score 48.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% | 57.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.4% | 78.6% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% | 30.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% | 30.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.21% | 66.79% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 37 | 66 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 44 |
6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
8 | Brentford | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Aston Villa | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 27 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 27 |
14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 |
15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 |
17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
18 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 |
19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 |
20 | Southampton | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 22 |
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