Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.