Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.