Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.