MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 14:55:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Dortmund

Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

With both teams picking up some strong results so far this season, we expect to see a high-quality match play out at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena on Friday evening, with the respective managers seemingly finding a better balance between attack and defence in recent weeks. Although BVB will be acutely aware that any more dropped points could see them fall too far behind Bayern in the title race even at this early stage of the season, we can envisage them having to share for a share of the spoils in Baden-Wurttemberg, which would at least keep their unbeaten record in tact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.53% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.88% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 71.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.61% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 26.53%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.59%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.64%
1-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.17%
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 6.85%
3-3 @ 2.79%
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.38%
2-3 @ 5.25%
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.12%
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37%
1-5 @ 1.74%
3-4 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 53.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
24.0%
Draw
32.8%
Borussia Dortmund
43.2%
125
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913

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