MX23RW : Monday, May 29 01:52:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hertha Berlin logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Schalke
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Mainz logo
Dortmund
2 - 2
Mainz
Guerreiro (69'), Sule (90+6')
Guerreiro (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hanche-Olsen (15'), Onisiwo (24')
Fernandes (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 0-3 Dortmund
Sunday, May 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-4 Stuttgart
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Mainz 05

Mainz came out on top against Bayern at the end of last month and they will hope to end their campaign on a high by claiming maximum points on Saturday, spoiling Dortmund's title party in the process. However, we cannot see this rampant BVB side being stopped in their tracks, and while there may be some nervy moments during the contest, Terzic's men should do enough to clinch the club's ninth Bundesliga title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
65.82% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08) 18.17% (0.035 0.04) 16.01% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.81% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)32.1% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.32% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)53.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.86% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)9.14% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.99% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)31.01% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.010999999999996 0.01)33.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (0.012 0.01)69.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 65.82%
    Mainz 05 16.01%
    Draw 18.17%
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 65.82%
1-1 @ 8% (0.019000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.34% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 16.01%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Mainz

Borussia Dortmund
81.2%
Draw
10.1%
Mainz 05
8.7%
69
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Jae-sung (2')
Jae-sung (34'), Svensson (67'), Fernandes (76')
Ryerson (4'), Reyna (90+3')
Mar 16, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 25
Mainz
0-1
Dortmund

Bell (43'), Stach (49'), Lucoqui (90+2')
Witsel (87')
Wolf (43'), Dahoud (44'), Pongracic (45+3'), Witsel (90+3')
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Dortmund
3-1
Mainz
Reus (3'), Braut Haaland (54' pen., 90+4')
Schulz (13'), Akanji (35')
Burkardt (87')
Bell (50'), Svensson (54'), Ingvartsen (64'), Tauer (71'), Niakhate (89')
May 16, 2021 5pm
gameweek 33
Mainz
1-3
Dortmund
Quaison (90+1' pen.)
Guerreiro (23'), Reus (42'), Brandt (80')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Dortmund
1-1
Mainz
Meunier (73')
Can (68')
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!